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تاریخMay 26, 2020

India and China on a Brink of War – How Recent Clashes can Destroy Indian Economy?

Recent clashes between the Indian Army and the Chinese People Liberation Army have disturbed the peace of the whole region. The world is already suffering from deadly Coronavirus, and it cannot bear the confrontations between two nuclear powers. The whole situation escalated due to the unresolved border issue that tethered both states since the independence of the subcontinent. China asserts most of the Arunachal Pradesh as Southern Tibet, while India declines such claims.

The disputed border McMahon Line is 3488 km long, which was established under a treaty between the United Kindom and the Tibetan government in 1914. This whole region was the property of the UK, but after the Britishers left India, the Chinese government refused to comply with the covenant. This issue was the cause of the Sino-India bloody war in 1962, which devastated the whole region. Chinese military occupied most of the territory of Arunachal Pradesh, but after the war ended, China left the captured region. The consequences of that war are still an obstacle between the relationship of both countries.

The issue resurfaced in 2017 when both armies came to the border, but then the meeting between Narendra Modi and Xi-Jinping de-escalated the situation. Both countries agreed to resolve this issue diplomatically, but so far no promising progress has been made from both sides.

Once again the same issue between India and China escalated, as both countries deployed their troops on the border to deal with uncertain threats. Due to the recent skirmishes, almost 17 Indian soldiers have been injured and, almost, the same number from China’s side. Open firing from both sides resulted in the injuries of soldiers, which will escalate the issue towards a disastrous outcome. Indian Army Chief Manoj Mukund Naravane already announced that it is the right time for India to combat China with full military strength to regain its territorial integrity.

The disputed land between India and China has great economic and geostrategic importance. Tibet is also called the roof of the world because it contains the highest range of mountains. Most of the rivers that flow in India are originated from these mountains, the Brahmaputra is one of those rivers. These rivers irrigate a vast land of India, and if China tries to stop the flow, India will be deprived-off of one-third of its water, which will bring catastrophic conditions for the Indian public.

The state of Arunachal Pradesh is linked with seven other Indian states. If the Indian army fails to contain Chinese on the border of Arunachal Pradesh, it will activate the rebellion elements in the rest of the provinces. The alliance of rebellion factors will bring havoc to Indian political and economic order. The skirmishes on the border can lead to a full-blown war, which will destroy the economy of both countries. India will suffer more than China if the latter gets control over the flow of the rivers.

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